Okay, it’s time to take this thread more seriously. How deep in shit are the Raiders under the cap?
Let’s assume the cap does not decrease to $175M, the
floor agreed to at the beginning of the 2020 season. In fact, let’s assume the cap is $5M
more than OverTheCap projects and lands at $195M given the recent optimism that the CV19 economic hit won’t be as bad as expected and the ongoing efforts to redo TV deals early.
I’ll start by looking at the 25 Raider FA and players behind them at those positions as it helps to identify holes that must be refilled by (a) resigning FA, (b) signing another team’s FA, and (c) drafting rookies. Then I’ll look at 10 potential roster moves, their backups and holes they would create before turning to the teams biggest needs, list of modest FA (re)signings and potential spending:
Step 1: Raider 2021 FA
- Hankins (Scott)
- Agholor (Ruggs)
- Morrow (Muse)
- Wilbur (White)
- Carlson (Eberle)
- Sieg (McCullough)
- McKinley (Valoaga)
- Beasley (Green)
- Collins (Hurst)
- Irving
- C. Smith (Key)
- Vickers (Nassib)
- Good (Magnuson)
- Young (Jones-Smith)
- Booker (Richard)
- Riddick
- Jones (Quinn)
- Witten (Moreau)
- Lawson (Nixon)
- Worley (Johnson)
- Harris (Heath)
- Leavitt (Gaulden)
- McMillan (Onwualu)
- Peterman (Sloter)
- Carrier (Bowers)
Step 2: Pot. Roster Moves (Backups) Savings (Dead $)
- Carr (Mariota) $19.625M ($2.5M)
- T. Brown (Parker) $14.0M
- Williams (Edwards) $11.6M
- Mariota (Carr) $10.1M
- Jackson (Seymour) $9.6M
- Joyner (Robertson) $8.7M ($2.5M)
- Incognito (Simpson) $6.35
- Nassib (Key) $3.75M ($5.75M)
- Richard (—) $3.5M
- Key (Nassib) $920K ($207K)
Step 3: Identifying Needs
- NT
- DT (x2)
- FS
- LEO
- OLB
- CB (Slot)
- RT
- WR
- RB (x2)
- OG
Step 4: Create Cap Space ($60.0M)
- Cuts ($41.55M): T. Brown, Williams, Joyner, Nassib, Richard
- Trade ($10.1M): Mariota
- Extensions/Restructures ($8.6M): Waller, Incognito, Littleton
Step 5: Modest In-house & FA options ($70M)
- NT: Hankins ($5M)
- DT (x2): Collins/Irving ($7.5M)
- FS: Johnson ($15M)
- LEO: McKinley ($8.5M)
- OLB: Beasley ($6.5M)
- CB (Slot): King ($6M)
- RT: Feile ($6M)
- WR: Agholor ($8.5M)
- RB (x2): Booker/Riddick ($3.5)
- OG: Good ($3.5)
Plan C
@CrossBones
Conclusions:
- Mayock better draft well
- Would help if Mark gave out signing bonuses to defer cap hits (too bad he spent his money on women’s basketball)
- One big ticket FA (e.g., Johnson) puts us over the cap given all the other needs
- I’m not wedded to any FA signing; mostly using players to estimate spending