2021 Cap space by team.

Discussion in 'Raiders Discussion' started by Dummy McIdiot, Jan 14, 2021.

  1. Dummy McIdiot

    Dummy McIdiot Erection Frog.

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    There are two categories 178 million and 190 million. Each team has both numbers.

    With the Covid opt outs and 2020 draft picks now accounted for I thought it was a good time to take a peek ahead to 2021 and see how team’s salary cap situations may look next year. The chart provides two cap spaces- one in the event of a $175 million salary cap in 2021 and the second in the event of a $190 million cap in 2021. The cap space estimate is based on current cap figures on the books in 2021, signings of enough minimum salary players to reach 51 players, and carryover based on current cap space for 2020 minus a $5 million placeholder for in-season costs. Note that this is not the salary cap health we talked about before (that will be a post after cutdowns) which takes into account possible cuts/restructures just with the roster as is.

    2021 Salary Cap Space Estimates
    Team Estimated Cap Space
    ($175M Cap Limit)
    (Estimated Cap Space
    ($190M Cap Limit)

    Colts $86,201,931 $101,201,931
    Patriots $65,208,537 $80,208,537
    Jaguars $59,128,585 $74,128,585
    Jets $56,601,575 $71,601,575
    Washington $49,559,205 $64,559,205
    Bengals $35,605,952 $50,605,952
    Chargers $34,136,482 $49,136,482
    Broncos $33,236,645 $48,236,645
    Browns $29,129,397 $44,129,397
    Dolphins $26,153,421 $41,153,421
    Ravens $25,609,647 $40,609,647
    Bills $25,570,806 $40,570,806
    Giants $22,976,708 $37,976,708
    Seahawks $22,246,774 $37,246,774
    Cardinals $18,052,445 $33,052,445
    Lions $13,000,146 $28,000,146
    Buccaneers $12,327,839 $27,327,839
    49ers $12,043,224 $27,043,224
    Panthers $10,197,935 $25,197,935
    Titans $7,549,402 $22,549,402
    Packers $31,284 $15,031,284
    Rams ($1,087,452) $13,912,548
    Cowboys ($2,545,086) $12,454,914
    Vikings ($3,185,885) $11,814,115
    Bears ($4,058,853) $10,941,147
    Texans ($8,587,737) $6,412,263
    Chiefs ($18,957,201) ($3,957,201)
    Raiders ($20,237,903) ($5,237,903)
    Steelers ($22,481,297) ($7,481,297)
    Falcons ($43,898,458) ($28,898,458)
    Eagles ($72,140,588) ($57,140,588)
    Saints ($75,415,139) ($60,415,139)
    Obviously many teams will have some work to do as the average cap space of $11.6M and $26.6M would be the lowest numbers in recent memory, but many teams do have some levers to pull if necessary for next year. That said there could be a situation where we see a lot of 1 year contracts next year and a great deal of market control coming from just a handful of teams next season.

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  2. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    Okay, it’s time to take this thread more seriously. How deep in shit are the Raiders under the cap?

    Let’s assume the cap does not decrease to $175M, the floor agreed to at the beginning of the 2020 season. In fact, let’s assume the cap is $5M more than OverTheCap projects and lands at $195M given the recent optimism that the CV19 economic hit won’t be as bad as expected and the ongoing efforts to redo TV deals early.

    I’ll start by looking at the 25 Raider FA and players behind them at those positions as it helps to identify holes that must be refilled by (a) resigning FA, (b) signing another team’s FA, and (c) drafting rookies. Then I’ll look at 10 potential roster moves, their backups and holes they would create before turning to the teams biggest needs, list of modest FA (re)signings and potential spending:

    Step 1: Raider 2021 FA
    1. Hankins (Scott)
    2. Agholor (Ruggs)
    3. Morrow (Muse)
    4. Wilbur (White)
    5. Carlson (Eberle)
    6. Sieg (McCullough)
    7. McKinley (Valoaga)
    8. Beasley (Green)
    9. Collins (Hurst)
    10. Irving
    11. C. Smith (Key)
    12. Vickers (Nassib)
    13. Good (Magnuson)
    14. Young (Jones-Smith)
    15. Booker (Richard)
    16. Riddick
    17. Jones (Quinn)
    18. Witten (Moreau)
    19. Lawson (Nixon)
    20. Worley (Johnson)
    21. Harris (Heath)
    22. Leavitt (Gaulden)
    23. McMillan (Onwualu)
    24. Peterman (Sloter)
    25. Carrier (Bowers)
    Step 2: Pot. Roster Moves (Backups) Savings (Dead $)
    1. Carr (Mariota) $19.625M ($2.5M)
    2. T. Brown (Parker) $14.0M
    3. Williams (Edwards) $11.6M
    4. Mariota (Carr) $10.1M
    5. Jackson (Seymour) $9.6M
    6. Joyner (Robertson) $8.7M ($2.5M)
    7. Incognito (Simpson) $6.35
    8. Nassib (Key) $3.75M ($5.75M)
    9. Richard (—) $3.5M
    10. Key (Nassib) $920K ($207K)
    Step 3: Identifying Needs
    1. NT
    2. DT (x2)
    3. FS
    4. LEO
    5. OLB
    6. CB (Slot)
    7. RT
    8. WR
    9. RB (x2)
    10. OG
    Step 4: Create Cap Space ($60.0M)
    1. Cuts ($41.55M): T. Brown, Williams, Joyner, Nassib, Richard
    2. Trade ($10.1M): Mariota
    3. Extensions/Restructures ($8.6M): Waller, Incognito, Littleton
    Step 5: Modest In-house & FA options ($70M)
    1. NT: Hankins ($5M)
    2. DT (x2): Collins/Irving ($7.5M)
    3. FS: Johnson ($15M)
    4. LEO: McKinley ($8.5M)
    5. OLB: Beasley ($6.5M)
    6. CB (Slot): King ($6M)
    7. RT: Feile ($6M)
    8. WR: Agholor ($8.5M)
    9. RB (x2): Booker/Riddick ($3.5)
    10. OG: Good ($3.5)
    Plan C @CrossBones

    Conclusions:
    1. Mayock better draft well
    2. Would help if Mark gave out signing bonuses to defer cap hits (too bad he spent his money on women’s basketball)
    3. One big ticket FA (e.g., Johnson) puts us over the cap given all the other needs
    4. I’m not wedded to any FA signing; mostly using players to estimate spending
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2021
  3. Madturk

    Madturk Barry McCockinner

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    I'm guessing we do Waller's deal next offseason. He's not going anywhere. We aren't bringing back Richie for $6mm especially coming of a serious achilles injury. Mariota should bring something back in trade. Either a player or a decent draft pick.

    Trent Brown is really the x factor here. I'm not sure they walk away from him unless he comes into camp overweight and out of shape.
     
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  4. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    We need to trade Mariota, not just for the pick, but for the cap space. I’ve got Richie as a restructure target. I’d like to wait on Waller too, but shaving money off his modest cap hit would help. We really need to buy down Littleton’s big cap hit. As for T. Brown, I’m targeting Pitts’ RT Feile. I’d rather sign a front line FS or DT with his money. As it is, I’m giving up on making multiple big splashes; mostly waiting until after the first week of FA is over.
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2021
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  5. Armyr8rfan

    Armyr8rfan Well-Known Member

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    Good breakdown.
     
  6. gst8

    gst8 Well-Known Member

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    The only FA I even have a tiny bit of interest in seeing back is Agholar. I'm sure Hankins won't cost enough to care one way or the other but he's starting to creep up the overrated by Raider fan list. He was getting his ass kicked pretty badly for a stretch. Morrow I suppose if I"m feeling real generous but he's replacement level at best.

    And I'm still estimating 70% odds that Mariota stays.
     
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  7. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    More than happy to find replacement players at good prices. But there often is value in resigning players, including (a) b/c you have more inside knowledge as to what you can expect and (b) b/c the player might not want to risk FA or change environments.

    As for Morrow, in Bradley’s D, he seems redundant to Kwiatkoski and Littleton. He is not an edge setting OLB like Bruce Irving or Vic Beasley. And we have Muse and White as back-up cover LB and can resign McMillan or find a cheaper back-up to Kwiatkoski.

    If Gruden wants to fix the D, improve the O and make the playoffs next year, he needs to shed the security of having two starting QB. Both Carr and Mariota have more value this year than last year. Time to repurpose Carr or Mariota into picks/cap space.
     
  8. kinz

    kinz Well-Known Member

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    Not a single guy on defense I'd shed a tear over. On the other hand, we spend squat on defense. Some ore okay to keep going forward, but none are really good.

    This is a debate from another time and place, but look at our sack totals. Also our ypc allowed. Our d-line sucks ass. So many good draft picks on such shit players. Astounding really. And with our cap troubles and massive spending on o-line, we are years from doing anything about this. Maybe when Gruden is gone.

    $18 mil a year for a RT and squat for a pass rush. Al must be be wanting to crawl from the grave and murder Gruden and Carr.
     
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  9. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    Resources last year was not the problem on D, both in terms of dollars and draft capital. We were in the top half of the league in terms of both (at least until Littleton’s deal was restructured).

    Effectively utilizing resources devoted to the D was the problem. I’m all for going after Pitts’ starting RT for $6+M to save coin to add to Collins’ dollars on the DL.
     
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  10. Armyr8rfan

    Armyr8rfan Well-Known Member

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    Good break down.
     
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  11. Desert Rat

    Desert Rat Well-Known Member

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    All Carr fans can't wait to get rid of Marcus. He showed more play making ability in less than a full game than Carr has his whole career after all.
     
  12. Desert Rat

    Desert Rat Well-Known Member

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    Sport track has the Raiders ranked as 22nd in defense dollars spent but that don't even tell the whole story. They spent money on the wrong guys.
     
  13. Armyr8rfan

    Armyr8rfan Well-Known Member

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    Not all. Some even predicted we’d sign him.

    I do think one or the other goes. But we are a better roster if we have two QB’s who can both play.
     
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  14. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    If you read my posts, you know that I’m for trading Carr too. I’d trade him to Indi. So I guess you meant to respond to somebody else.
     
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  15. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    We were 13th before we restructured Littleton to create cap space. And we invested more draft capital than most teams on the D. It is all about poor choices and bad contracts.
     
  16. Armyr8rfan

    Armyr8rfan Well-Known Member

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    At some point they will realize that these fans they are referring to are in different sites/apps. The blind faith he can do no wrong crowd simply does not exist on here. At least not anymore. Perhaps there were a few guys like that at one point.

    But there is definitely a large contingent of he can do no right crowd that is alive and well.
     
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  17. Desert Rat

    Desert Rat Well-Known Member

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    Cherry pick much?
    Defense Spending by Cap Dollars | Spotrac

    22nd, not 13th. It's that simple.
     
  18. Desert Rat

    Desert Rat Well-Known Member

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    They will both be on the team next season. David's last year on his contract. Mark will make Derek the highest paid QB in the NFL again unless he stubs his toe and Marcus sees more playing time.
     
  19. Armyr8rfan

    Armyr8rfan Well-Known Member

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    He’s 100% right though.

    If these draft picks played better we wouldn’t be crying about how much of our cap we are currently spending on D.

    The plan was to build a defense through the draft with some mid tier FA’s to supplement.

    So far the plan is failing. Miserably.

    I still like that idea though. All too many times I’ve seen teams try to sign a defense in FA and it just doesn’t work. But you gotta have a better return on those picks.
     
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  20. Sleet

    Sleet #2018: Return of Gru

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    What are you talking about?

    We restructured Littleton well after he first signed and after FA was finished when we needed cap space. Before he restructured, we were 13th in defensive spending. It was his restructuring that dropped us. Also, investment on D includes draft capital, which your posts ignores. It is you my friend who is doing the cherry picking in this regard.

    All of this was settled and well documented a week or so ago by others. Apparently you don’t read or don’t care and just want to push a false narrative.
     
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