Who should the Raiders look to draft at QB -- 2025 Edition

Who should we get?

  • Cam Ward

    Votes: 10 38.5%

  • Shedeur Sanders

    Votes: 5 19.2%

  • Jalen MIlroe

    Votes: 2 7.7%

  • Jaxson Dart

    Votes: 7 26.9%

  • Carson Beck

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Garrett Nussmeier

    Votes: 2 7.7%

  • Kurtis Rourke

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Drew Allar

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    26
So the accuracy of the QB highest passing percentage in NCAA history is just okay,....compared to who?
 
Sleet said:
A lot of throws behind the LOS
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I think @1D4 thinks completion percentage tells you how accurate a QB is.

looney tunes ugh GIF by Looney Tunes World of Mayhem
 
It's a lot of factors a perfectly thrown ball could be intercepted or dropped, but it's still the best stat to determine that. The only problem is Sanders has turned off a lot of people this off-season there is nothing wrong with the stat itself and if Manning the 4th is number one in comp % you'll hear about it all summer.
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1D4 said:
So the accuracy of the QB highest passing percentage in NCAA history is just okay,....compared to who?
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You know that’s only 2 years of his. They don’t look at his Jackson State stuff in the equation. 65% and 70% so it’s still good. I think if we look at the 4 year window Colt McCoy is the top dog but I’m not adding it up just so you can say who gives a shit Colt McCoy sucked and Shedeur is a stud
 
Crow said:
:chuckle:

He's really good at throwing screens. That's what it tells you.
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Did he throw more screens than others? I havent seen that chart thing that usually gets posted.
 
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007 said:
Did he throw more screens than others? I havent seen that chart thing that usually gets posted.
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Googling for specifics, I found more than I bargained for. Ha

Regarding screens, more than 27% of Sanders' passes were thrown behind the LOS. Ward was at 21.3% by comparison.
 
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www.nytimes.com

Charting Shedeur Sanders: What numbers say about star’s 2025 NFL Draft outlook

Cam Ward looks like QB1 in this class, which puts Shedeur Sanders at QB2. Does his game make him worthy of that billing?
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com


Sanders’ overall accuracy numbers, for instance, are kind of cheesed. Sanders isn’t exactly inaccurate to any particular area of the field, but his accuracy rate is boosted by an absurd amount of screens and other throws behind the line of scrimmage. Just over 27 percent of Sanders’ charted throws were behind the line of scrimmage; Ward, by contrast, came in at 21.3 percent — still relatively high, but not astronomically so.

Some of the nitty-gritty distinctions within Sanders’ accuracy numbers are alarming, as well. For example, 11.2 percent of Sanders’ throws required an unnecessary adjustment by the wide receiver in order to be caught. (Anywhere between 4-7 percent is a “normal” range when looking at my data from previous draft classes, while 8-9 percent tends to be at the high end of the spectrum; it’s incredibly rare to see anything above 10 percent).

What that says is that Sanders can be directionally accurate, but not pinpoint accurate. That tracks with what my eyes see on film.

Sanders gives his guys chances on a regular basis and doesn’t put open throws in the stands, but he too often asks his receivers to do more of the heavy lifting to finish a play. Maybe that doesn’t matter with the right receiving corps (it certainly wouldn’t in a place like Cincinnati.) For most teams, however, that’s inevitably going to leave yards on the field and limit YAC opportunities.

Similarly, Sanders struggled a bit on throws where quarterbacks can really flex their precision. His 41.7 percent accuracy into tight windows is firmly average. The first three picks in last year’s class all cleared him by at least 4 percent, as did Ward (48.4).

Sanders also posted a paltry 59.7 percent success rate versus man coverage. That can be a wide receiver stat in some cases, but it’s not for Sanders — Travis Hunter alone squashes that possibility. Will Sheppard probably will find his way onto an NFL roster as a UDFA, and LaJohntay Wester was a perfectly capable Power 4 receiver. Say what you will about its offensive line, but Colorado had some quality pass catchers.

In totality, Sanders’ charting profile mostly puts him in the clear. The high adjusted catch rate and mediocre ball placement into difficult throwing windows are alarm bells, but there’s enough good throughout the rest of the profile to not immediately let those two factors sink Sanders.

Realistically, Sanders is a quarterback prospect who can execute an offense but not elevate one.



There's a lot more detail, but I didn't feel like copy/pasta'ing charts and shit and posting the entire long ass article. The link is there for anyone interested.
 
Lots of words.

When this part works: Realistically, Sanders is a quarterback prospect who can execute an offense but not elevate one.
 
007 said:
Lots of words.

When this part works: Realistically, Sanders is a quarterback prospect who can execute an offense but not elevate one.
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Works as a summation of his overall evaluation. Doesn't really answer any questions about his accuracy or % of dinks & dunks.
 
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