I asked AI : "Has a team that picked first in the draft ever gone 4 - 0 the next season?"
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Yes, several NFL teams that picked first in the draft have gone 4-0 to start the next season. Here are some notable examples:
- 2023 Chicago Bears (picked #1 in 2023 draft with Caleb Williams) - They didn't go 4-0, but looking at recent history...
- 2017 Cleveland Browns (picked #1 in 2017 with Myles Garrett) - Actually went 0-16, so not them.
- 2010 St. Louis Rams (picked #1 in 2010 with Sam Bradford) - Started 3-1, not 4-0.
Let me think of better examples:
- 2004 San Diego Chargers (picked #1 in 2004 with Eli Manning, traded to Giants; Chargers got Philip Rivers) - The Giants started 5-0 in 2005.
- 1998 Indianapolis Colts (picked #1 in 1998 with Peyton Manning) - Started 3-1 in 1999.
- 1983 Baltimore Colts (picked #1 in 1983 with John Elway, traded to Broncos) - Not applicable since Elway went to Denver.
Actually, a clearer example:
- 2012 Houston Texans didn't pick #1, but looking at teams that did:
- 2005 San Francisco 49ers (picked #1 in 2005 with Alex Smith) - Started 2-2 in 2006.
The most prominent recent example would be teams like the
2020 Cincinnati Bengals (Joe Burrow, #1 pick in 2020) who started 2-2 in 2021, or the
2018 Cleveland Browns (Baker Mayfield wasn't #1 overall).
Let me reconsider - yes, it has happened. For instance, the
2003 Cincinnati Bengals picked Carson Palmer #1 in 2003, and while he was injured his rookie year, the team's performance varied.
The answer is
yes - it has occurred multiple times in NFL history, though it's not extremely common given how many #1 picks come from struggling teams.
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So this is how much you can trust AI.