The Draft Risk Study by position.

[Raidermania12]

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=kluck/quarterbacks/070425

interesting set up.

Crunching the Numbers: First-Round QBs, 1989-2003
Number of QBs drafted: 30

Notable busts: Ryan Leaf, Todd Marinovich, David Klingler, Akili Smith, Cade McNown

Number of busts: 16

Bust percentage: 53%

Number of QBs with at least one Pro Bowl appearance: 10

Pro Bowl percentage: 33%

Noticeable second-tier (not busts, but not stars): Jeff George, Trent Dilfer, Kerry Collins, Byron Leftwich, Rex Grossman

For the sake of comparison
Percentage of first-round RB busts: 49%
Percentage of first-round WR busts: 45%

Conclusions
If history tells us anything, either Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell will be an abject failure at the next level. And it seemed like our metrics -- games played and TD/INT ratio -- were pretty accurate. To survive in the league at QB, you must make wise decisions with the football. To thrive, like many of our multiple Pro Bowl QBs, a 2/1 TD/INT ratio is standard.

But thriving is in no way a given, with quarterback grading out as our riskiest offensive skill position. The Lions (Ware, Harrington), Seahawks (McGwire, Mirer) and Bengals (Klingler, Smith) each had two busts in the study cycle, and the Lions, yet again, find themselves in need of a signal-caller. Buyer beware.

 

[Turo]

Yikes. Would be cool to know what the numbers are for 2nd and 3rd round players.

 

[massraider]

That bust percentage for WR's looked low to me. Click on the WR study. They were real, real generous with some of these guys.

 

[Turo]

Leron Landry, here we come!

 

[BigTron]

I still have nightmare's of us drafting Teddy Ginn jr. #1 overall and then the fastest CB left at #33. Then we keep Moss and sign A.Brooks, not the football player the college basketball one who can actually hit something he is aiming at.

 

[Limee]

I am glad to see that neither Derrick Gibson or Napoleon Harris were busts.