It's not hindsight, Jack, it's the MO for the last several years. There is a crew that never wants to take a shot on a top rookie QB, no matter what. And they won't want one next year, no matter what. They have Rich Gannon, Tom Brady, and the 2000 Baltimore Ravens as all the proof they need.
No matter what Russell and CJ do, they won't want a QB in the 1st. Because frankly, if someone isn't ready to take a shot on a QB after Rivers, Ben, Vince, Leinart, and Cutler, they never will. 1st round QB's have a darn good record lately.
It doesn't matter which QB is coming out, there'll always be a Tuiasosopo, or Walter, or McCown, or frigging Dreisbach, or someone else that ain't proved squat, that they'll want to 'give a chance' to.
I expect CJ to be stud, from Day 1. Why wouldn't he? And I'll be happy with him. But I am really not looking forward to the hype surrounding whatever 2nd tier QB we take. Have you noticed we've heard and read nothing but great things about Kevin Kolb, Drew Stanton, and Trent Edwards lately? it's because they haven't been analyzed to death already.
Holy Christ, if Tui got a 5 or 6 year pass, and never did anything, can you imagine if we took Troy Smith in the 4th round? Everyone loves the backup QB, but if ours was Troy Smith, the hysteria would make Tui-mania look like the common cold.