More Moss trade specualtion...

hawaiianboy

Unfuckupable
Joined
Oct 5, 2006
Messages
29,849
Reaction score
25,283
From www.profootballtalk.com:


MORE ON MOSS-TO-JAX RUMORS

We're continuing to hear that the Jacksonville Jaguars, due in large part to the lobbying of assistant head coach Mike "Meathead" Tice, are looking at the possibility of swinging a trade for disgruntled Raiders receiver Randy Moss.

Still, there are plenty of planets that would need to line up before the guy who admitted last year to smoking pot "once in a blue moon" is playing in Florida.

The biggest questions, in our view, are whether the Raiders would move Moss -- and what the Raiders would want in return.

Although Al Davis has been known to keep an unhappy guy around despite the impact on the team, there's a strong financial benefit to trading Moss. Based on the new CBA rules regarding the salary cap ramifications of trades made after June 1, there would be no additional acceleration in 2006. (We must have been smoking some of Randy's stash the other day when we suggested there would be a cap hit.) And the Raiders would avoid the potential necessity of cutting Moss in the offseason due to his eight-figure cap number for 2007.

Per numbers that have been obtained by Jerry McDonald of the Oakland Tribune (and which we separately have confirmed, not because we don't trust Jerry but because it makes us look like we know what we're doing), the Raiders would take a $4 .04 million cap charge in 2007. The $2.02 million bonus allocation already on the books for Moss this season would be unchanged.

If, in contrast, the Raiders keep Moss, they're facing cap numbers of $11.77 million in 2007, and $13.27 million in 2007.

So it might make sense to get something for him now, because the only alternative for the franchise might be to dump his salary after the season. Whether the Raiders will be forced to deal with Randy's cap number after the season depends in large part on the rest of the cap room that they have.

Any team that takes Moss would have to absorb his prorated salary, which currently is at roughly $6 million. A league source tells us that the Jaguars have $10 million in cap space, so they could do it if they choose to do so.

As to the compensation that the Raiders would want, we're thinking it would take at least a first-round pick. If, after all Deion Branch is worth a one, so is Moss. (Hell, under that standard Moss might be worth two of them.)

Our gut feeling is that the Raiders would take a one and a three, if they decide to try to move him.

And if anything is going to happen, it needs to happen soon. The trading deadline is October 17.

We've been asked by several readers whether other teams might be in the mix. We've heard nothing specific, but that never stops us from speculating.

The Dolphins are a possibility, given the mutual roots of coach Nick Saban and Moss. Saban surely believes he knows how to coax the best performance out of him, and Moss might be less likely to make those stray comments that reflect dissatisfaction if the captain of the ship is a fellow West Virginian. Besides, Saban could use a little excitement to fill the seats, and to distract the fans from the reality that sky-high preseason predictions have been to date unrealized.

Plus, the move would reunite Moss with quarterback Daunte Culpepper. Though there was a little weirdness between them when Moss was moved out of Minnesota, we're thinking that both might be realizing that they need each other in order to be successful.

The Jets are an intriguing candidate, since it would bring Moss back together with quarterback Chad Pennington, with whom Moss played at Marshall. But Laveranues Coles is back to his old form and Jerricho Cotchery is emerging as a legitimate threat; the Jets simply don't need him.

The Chiefs are a team that in theory might be interested in adding a guy who once was (and still might be) a game-changer, but there's no way the Raiders would trade him to an arch-rival. (And trading Moss now might be more attractive to the Raiders based simply on the fact that, if the Raiders are eventually forced to cut him, he could make a beeline for K.C.)

The Eagles still have needs at the position, but there's no way they take another chance with a pass-catching diva.

The Bears could use him, but they're gonna go deep into January with or without him.

Rams coach Scott Linehan could be interested in the guy who played for him when Linehan was the offensive coordinator in Minnesota, but it would be very hard from a P.R. standpoint to suddenly supplant Isaac Bruce. Moss, as we see it, would be more likely to land with the Rams after 2006, if he's released by the Raiders.

The one team that readers have asked about the most is the Patriots. Though Moss doesn't fit with the team's whole no-turd approach, neither did Corey Dillon. And, in our view, it was the presence of guys like Dillon in 2004 and Rodney Harrison in 2003 -- seasoned veterans desperate for a ring -- that helped the Pats avoid complacency and win the Lombardi in both seasons. Warts and all, Moss is fiercely competitive, and we've got a feeling that, between coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady, he could be controlled.

It's still a long shot, we think. Heck, any trade is a remote possibility. Too much has to happen, and it has to happen in 10 days or less.

But with no one getting arrested in the last 24 hours, we had to talk about something.
 
I still dispute any logic that suggests Moss is worth a 1st round pick at this point, but I would certainly be up for moving him.

I wonder what the rules are regarding trading a player for a coach...
 
He may not be worth a 1 to teams like us... but I think the Jags roster is complete enough that Randy Moss would have more value to them than whoever they could get drafting with that late first... I think they can afford to think short term here...


I think it would be a move with two specifics in mind:

1) Getting past the Colts... Dungy's D really exposed the lack of speed the Jags currently have on offense... Moss would be someone that their defense would have to play more honest over the top and help open things up underneath...

2) The Jags fan base is said to be hurting even though they are doing well... One thing we do know is that Moss can still sell jerseys and put butts in the seats...

I would think that a 1 and a 3 is way too optimistic... I'd imagine that Matt Jones would be someone Al may see value in even though he's still a project in my mind...

I would hate to see us handicap ourselves by paying Moss that $11 and 13 mill the next two seasons... I would like to think we learned something from doing it with CWood... and I just don't see Moss being willing to restructure as unhappy as he seems with the current scheme... It would be a minor miracle if we can out from under this with a PBuch type of trade return...
 
I don't see us getting rid of Moss.

Not that I like that, but I dont see it happening.
 
On a side note: What is rep power, and what do I do with it?

Excuse my ignorance.
 
If we could get the 2 & 3 we got for Buchanon, I'd call that a huge victory.

Matt Jones and a mid-round pick would be fair at this point.

Hell, David Garrard and a mid-round pick would do it for me.


In terms of getting past the Colts, I just don't see how Moss helps them do that. Their defense has to step up in order to take that division. They have yet to do that consistantly.

On the offensive side, however, Reggie Williams has stepped up for them in a huge way. Mo J-D is a home run hitter, be he in the backfield, split out, or in the return game. A healthy Matt Jones is still a legitimate deep threat. Wilford is a very solid possession guy. Moss could become more of a weapon than any of those guys. Could be the operative word. Would he? I have my doubts.


In terms of the fanbase, I think people have caught on to what a turd Moss can really be. I don't know if another fanbase will bite on his fake play...er...playfake the way we did.

Also, I blame location for the Jags struggles to build a fanbase as much as I do anything else.
 
Raiderfan007 said:
Excuse my ignorance.

You get positive rep from people when you make a good post or say something funny, etc. Some sites offer more privies at a certain rep level, although I don't know if Bones is bothering with anything like that.

It's more or less a status thing. If you have a lot of green rep boxes, people get the first impression that you're a guy whose posts are worth reading. Red boxes indicate that people don't like you or think what you're saying is garbage. Usually, only trolls get the red boxes.

Just a brief explanation, anyway.
 
Crow said:
You get positive rep from people when you make a good post or say something funny, etc. Some sites offer more privies at a certain rep level, although I don't know if Bones is bothering with anything like that.

It's more or less a status thing. If you have a lot of green rep boxes, people get the first impression that you're a guy whose posts are worth reading. Red boxes indicate that people don't like you or think what you're saying is garbage. Usually, only trolls get the red boxes.

Just a brief explanation, anyway.

Good to know.

I won't bring my alter ego over here then...

FANG!
 
Crow said:
If we could get the 2 & 3 we got for Buchanon, I'd call that a huge victory.

So would I....

In terms of getting past the Colts, I just don't see how Moss helps them do that. Their defense has to step up in order to take that division. They have yet to do that consistantly.

I think their D has played Manning and the Colts pretty tough... That cover two look of Dungy's has given Leftwich fits the past two times I saw them... Last year it was a 7-3 game or something like that and this year they swarmed the WR's and forced him to dink the ball to the tune of 100 or so yards... The way to beat the cover two is to split the safeties, something that's not the strong suit of Wilford or Williams.... Matt Jones may time fast, but I don't think he plays fast yet, and he has yet to stay healthy...

I dunno, if I was a bubble Super Bowl team, I'd look hard at Moss considering how fast that SB window can close...
 
Fang would have so much red, someone might call an ambulance thinking he was bleeding to death.

I survive by having the people who secretly agree with me giving me posi rep to counter the neg rep. ;)
 
hawaiianboy said:
I think their D has played Manning and the Colts pretty tough... That cover two look of Dungy's has given Leftwich fits the past two times I saw them... Last year it was a 7-3 game or something like that and this year they swarmed the WR's and forced him to dink the ball to the tune of 100 or so yards... The way to beat the cover two is to split the safeties, something that's not the strong suit of Wilford or Williams.... Matt Jones may time fast, but I don't think he plays fast yet, and he has yet to stay healthy...

I dunno, if I was a bubble Super Bowl team, I'd look hard at Moss considering how fast that SB window can close...

True, but I'd also have to consider the TO effect as well. Philly fell and fell hard when they brought in a malcontent WR. Say what you want about TO, but he rarely...if ever...takes a play off. With Moss, you just have to hope and pray that he's running somewhere near full speed when he's your first or second read.

And Jones has been healthy up to this point. ;)

But, yeah. If Moss played hard, he'd help them out. But I don't think his heart is in the game anymore, and he's not going to give Lord Byron a quicker release. That's part of the Jags' problems as well, IMO.
 
Crow said:
True, but I'd also have to consider the TO effect as well. Philly fell and fell hard when they brought in a malcontent WR. Say what you want about TO, but he rarely...if ever...takes a play off. With Moss, you just have to hope and pray that he's running somewhere near full speed when he's your first or second read.

I'd agree with you if Mike Tice weren't there... If Moss has a Rabbi in this league it would be Tice.... Tice has the track record as far as handling Moss about as well as expected and getting production from him... Personally I think Tice is pushing for this with an eye on low jacking Del Rio's job at some point...


And you'd better get used to TO, I'd bet cash money he'll be a Raider next year if we let Moss go and Parcells stays another year in Tejas... It's just like Romo in that you know it's just an inevitable eventuality... I do agree that TO's onfield play is nails though...



And Jones has been healthy up to this point. ;)

Didn't he play hurt most of last year and already miss a couple of games this year?... Or am I thinking of some other overhyped white guy?... You all look alike to me...
 
I agree with Raiderfan007 in that I don't see Moss being moved.

I can see that it makes a lot of sense in terms of we seem to be at the start of a building process and Moss is clearly not here for the long term. The cash could certainly be utilised elsewhere (some Oline help and some vets who are leaders/winners would be great) this offseason. A 2nd and 3rd would certainly be more than acceptable. The receiving core left would be pretty wretched and it would be very hard for Walter to have sucess behind that line with those guys catching the ball.
 
Limee said:
The receiving core left would be pretty wretched and it would be very hard for Walter to have sucess behind that line with those guys catching the ball.

Unless someone in Oakland decided to blink in this little staredown and Porter got activated. Porter, Curry and Morant, while unspectacular, could be serviceable.
 
I agree RFID. I like Curry and he has actually produced in this league, but health is still a big question. I am hopeful that Walter and Morant can develop the chemistry they seem to have, but Morant has a lot to prove. Porter should obviously be a big upgrade over Whitted. The receiving core would be a big bunch of questions, although Moss is not looking the answer at the moment, and as for the TEs well....

I tend to think that the success of QBs is very much dependent on the situation they find themselves in. An average QB can be made to look good or bad depending on other factors. Still if we trade Moss and keep Porter on the bench and Walter can stay healthly and produce even moderately behind our line then I think we have something.
 
Matt Jones and a mid rounder for Moss? I'd consider that, sure. Matt Jones is a physical freak who makes Teyo Johnson look slow of foot, plus he can actually catch and block some.

I'd rather have a first rounder though.
 
Back
Top