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Brandt's 60-second previews
By Gil Brandt
NFL.com Senior Analyst
(June 30, 2006) -- As we have in past years, we are giving you a 60-second preview on each team as the players make their final preparations for training camp.
Unlike past years, I have decided to rank the teams 1-32.
Let's make it clear that these ranking are based upon the assumption that all key veterans will start the season healthy (even Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Palmer and Daunte Culpepper) and that all rookies will be signed on time (unlike Chicago's Cedric Benson last year).
But like everything else this time of year, this is a product of uncertainty. Five teams in the NFC that had losing records in 2004 made the playoffs in 2005, including division winners Tampa Bay, New York and Chicago. And needless to say, the Colts will drop if Peyton Manning gets hurt during training camp, as will the Saints if Reggie Bush holds out.
We took into consideration each team's performance from last season, who they lost and who they gained.
In September, we'll take another look at each team and factor in how they played during the preseason.
1. Carolina
In 2005, it was No. 3 in total defense and was No. 2 in takeaways. It also had 45 sacks. The defense lost one starter from 2005 (Will Witherspoon) and played the season without Kris Jenkins, who will turn from injury in 2006. Carolina signed six veteran starters in free agency (two linebackers, two defensive linemen, a center and wide receiver Keyshawn Johnson) who should be a big help. Carolina's bye will be Week 9 and it will play Dallas, Pittsburgh and the Giants at home. Carolina will end the season with road games against Atlanta and New Orleans. Johnson and rookie running back DeAngelo Williams (Memphis) should help an offense that finished No. 22 last season.
2. Indianapolis
In 2005, the Colts were ranked No. 11 in total defense and No. 2 in sacks, had 31 takeaways and scored four defensive touchdowns. Adding kicker Adam Vinatieri was BIG. Also last season, the Colts offense was No. 3 in rushing. Losing Edgerrin James was big, but remember that Dominic Rhodes rushed for 1,000-plus yards (as an undrafted rookie) in the season James missed with a knee injury. Rookie running back Joseph Addai (LSU) has a chance to be very good. Peyton Manning, who is entering his ninth season at age 30, still is very good and so are his receivers (Harrison, Stokley, Wayne). Last year, Manning had 28 touchdown passes against 10 interceptions -- not as good as 2004, but still very good. The bye will come in Week 6. Indy has road games against Denver, New England and Dallas in a four-week span (Oct. 29 through Nov. 19).
3. Pittsburgh
The Steelers lost three starters to free agency and Jerome Bettis retired. The defense finished No. 4 overall and No. 3 in scoring defense with 30 takeaways and 47 sacks. The Steelers will have to play road games against the Jaguars, Chargers and Panthers, and will finish the season at Cincinnati. On offense, the Steelers need Willie Parker and Duce Staley to come through to help the running game, which is so important to the team's success. Draft choices Santonio Holmes, Anthony Smith and Willie Reed need to help take up the slack for the departed players they will replace. Of course, Ben Roethlisberger's injuries are a concern. The bye will come in Week 4. Someone must successfully fill the void Antwaan Randle-El left if the team is to return to the Super Bowl, but this is a well-coached team and an outstanding organization.
4. Seattle
The previous five teams that lost the Super Bowl have failed to post a winning record the following season, but this will not happen to Seattle. Last season, the Seahawks had 27 takeaways and led the NFL with 50 sacks, but finished No. 16 in total defense (No. 5 against the run; No. 25 vs. the pass). First-round draft choice Kelly Jennings (Miami, Fla.) should help the pass defense. Seattle will play road games against Chicago, Kansas City and Denver, and the season finale will be at Tampa Bay. Eight games will be played against teams with new head coaches in 2006. The offense had a league-high 57 touchdowns last season (including Shaun Alexander's league-record 28). Matt Hasselbeck is one of the NFL's top quarterbacks, and Alexander re-signed with the team after rushing for a league-high 1,880 yards last season. A big key will be to replace Pro Bowl left guard Steve Hutchinson, who left for Minnesota.
5. New England
The Patriots were the only team to make the playoffs in 2005 with more turnovers (18) than takeaways (24). Last season, the Patriots were No. 7 in total offense, No. 26 in total defense (No. 31 against the pass), and ranked near the bottom with games missed by injury. They have good young players on both lines. Tom Brady had a great season in 2005 and should be even better this season. Don't be surprised if rookie running back Laurence Maroney has a great season. Tight end Ben Watson will be a factor. New England will plays Denver, Indianapolis and Chicago at home. The bye will come in Week 6, and New England will end the season with road games at Jacksonville and Tennessee. The big job will be to find a capable replacement for Adam Vinatieri.
6. Dallas
The Cowboys were 5-2 when left tackle Flozell Adams was lost for the season. They went 4-5 the rest of the way. Thanks in part to kicking problems, the Cowboys lost three games by three points or fewer, but now they have Mike Vanderjagt. The Cowboys had more giveaways (31) than takeaways (26). A young defense played well in 2005 and should be better in 2006. Terrell Owens' presence should improve the passing game; Owens has 71 touchdown receptions over the past six seasons. Dallas has road games at Jacksonville, Carolina and Atlanta. The bye week will be early (Week 3) and the Cowboys' final two games will be at home. The team has done a very good job of drafting and signing free agents the past two seasons.
7. Cincinnati
People keep forgetting this team won the AFC North crown last season, not the Steelers. All 22 starters from last season will return, plus Pro Bowl kicker Shayne Graham. The Bengals led the NFL last season in takeaways (44) and turnover ratio (plus-24). If Carson Palmer can return to form after major knee surgery, this team will score a lot of points, but will he be ready for Week 1 at Kansas City? The defense has to stop people (No. 28 in total defense and No. 22 in scoring defense last season). Cincinnati's final three games will be at Indianapolis, at Denver, and home against Pittsburgh. The bye will come in Week 5.
8. Denver
With 36 takeaways last season, the Broncos were second in the NFL in turnover ratio (plus-20). They also were No. 5 in total offense and No. 15 in total defense (but No. 29 against the pass). Denver, which has one of the NFL's best home-field advantages, will play host to Indianapolis, Seattle and Cincinnati this season. The trade for Javon Walker should help a passing attack that ranked No. 18 last season, and Jason Elam has scored 100 or more points in 13 seasons, but the player to watch is running back Tatum Bell. Mike Shanahan, one of the league's best play callers, has led his team to at least 10 victories in each of the past three seasons and 122 overall in his 11 seasons, including the playoffs.
9. Miami
Nick Saban took a team that went 4-12 in 2004 and guided it to a 9-7 mark in 2005 despite a glaring weakness at quarterback. Miami traded for Daunte Culpepper to direct a passing attack that ranked 16th last season, and also traded for Joey Harrington as a backup and possible early-season starter. The loss of Ricky Williams will hurt the running game, but Culpepper will be a huge upgrade at quarterback if he is healthy. The team hired two coordinators who were head coaches in 2005. Miami will play at Pittsburgh, Chicago and Indianapolis, but has only one cold-weather game (Dec. 17 at Buffalo). The bye will come in Week 8, right before the game in Chicago.
10. Chicago
The Bears improved from 5-11 in 2004 to 11-5 and a first-round bye in 2005, and all 22 starters will return in 2006. That includes Rex Grossman, who has played in only three games in each of the past two seasons. Last season, the Bears were ranked No. 2 in total defense, and allowed a league-low 202 points. Chicago also had a plus-6 turnover ratio. The Bears drafted Danieal Manning and Devin Hester to help the return game, and also signed free agent Ricky Manning to bolster the pass defense. Chicago was No. 29 in total offense and No. 31 in passing offense last season, but Cedric Benson's return and the addition of Brian Griese should help. Four of Chicago's first five games will be against teams with new head coaches. Seattle, Miami and Tampa Bay will come to Soldier Field, but the Bears will play three consecutive road games in November (Giants, Jets, Patriots). The bye will be in Week 7.
11. Jacksonville
With their 12-4 mark, the Jaguars would have been in first place in six other divisions last season, despite Byron Leftwich missing five games (David Garrard went 4-1 as a starter). They ranked No. 6 in total defense and scoring defense, had 28 takeaways and had a plus-11 in turnovers. Jimmy Smith's retirement will hurt, so Fred Taylor needs to stay healthy. Jacksonville's top two draft picks (Marcedes Lewis and Maurice Jones-Drew) should help the offense, which was ranked No. 15 last season. The team will start the season at home against Dallas and Pittsburgh, and the Giants and Patriots also will come to Jacksonville. In Weeks 3 and 4, Jacksonville will travel to Indianapolis and Washington. The bye will come in Week 6.
Continued next post.....