Subjective grading:
What’s the point of all the pre-draft scouting, mocking, and big boards if you’re going to ignore them and just say nice things about picks? Below I pick on PFF, but most draft nicks not following Arif’s methodology do it.
PFF gave LAC’s draft a B. If you read PFF’s write-up of each player, you wonder why the grade was so low. Lol
How did PFF get there? Based on its big board, LAC drafted 3 UDFA prospects and barely stayed on PFF’s board in R5:
- 4.117 —> UDFA (311)
- 5.145 —> 7.232
- 6.202 —> UDFA (429)
- 6.206 —> UDFA (438)
That’s an “F” for half of LAC’s draft if PFF had any conviction in its own board. It’s the equivalent of all but wasting a comp 3rd (3.111) or 8.6% of LAC’s draft capital.
LAC also had two typical same-round, loss-of-value picks (total loss here the equivalent of the 3.86 pick)—one addressing a need in the midst of a position run, and another for a guy they apparently liked/targeted:
- 2.63 OC Slaughter (PFF 90)
- 4.105 WR B. Thompson (PFF 118)
Such (sadly) expected GM drafting deserves what grade if you grade on a curve? A “B” if you like the fit or “C” if you don’t? I’m not a fan of converting a relatively tall (6’5”) and thin (305 lb), albeit athletic, college OC to play OG in the NFL. Also, fuck midgets, although I like 4.27 speed and fit with OC Michael. To me, that’s at best a “C+” for 2 of LAC’s 8 picks and 27.8% of LAC’s draft capital.
LAC did not fuck up it’s 1st round pick and got value at safety, a position group that fell in this class:
- 1.22 —> Edge Mesidor (PFF 20)
- 5.131 —> S G. Smith (PFF 98)
Is doing your job as GM get you an “A” or “B” grade? Mesidor went within 10% of where PFF slotted him—that’s nothing to write home about. The 61 extra points in R5 (equivalent of a 4.117 pick) for a safety, while nice, was not only low hanging fruit, Arif’s work has shown that a “steal” (>15% from perceived pre-draft value) statistically means far less than a “reach” (<15% from perceived pre-draft value). Players fall for reasons, which led 32 GMs pass on a player. It only takes 1 GM to reach—far more likely an outlier. Together, I give those 2 of 8 picks (63.5% of LAC’s draft capital) a “B+.”
- Weighted GPA: B-
- Unweighted GPA: D+
Final Grade: C+