Raidermania12
04-25-2007, 01:23 PM
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=kluck/quarterbacks/070425
interesting set up.
Crunching the Numbers: First-Round QBs, 1989-2003
Number of QBs drafted: 30
Notable busts: Ryan Leaf, Todd Marinovich, David Klingler, Akili Smith, Cade McNown
Number of busts: 16
Bust percentage: 53%
Number of QBs with at least one Pro Bowl appearance: 10
Pro Bowl percentage: 33%
Noticeable second-tier (not busts, but not stars): Jeff George, Trent Dilfer, Kerry Collins, Byron Leftwich, Rex Grossman
For the sake of comparison
Percentage of first-round RB busts: 49%
Percentage of first-round WR busts: 45%
Conclusions
If history tells us anything, either Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell will be an abject failure at the next level. And it seemed like our metrics -- games played and TD/INT ratio -- were pretty accurate. To survive in the league at QB, you must make wise decisions with the football. To thrive, like many of our multiple Pro Bowl QBs, a 2/1 TD/INT ratio is standard.
But thriving is in no way a given, with quarterback grading out as our riskiest offensive skill position. The Lions (Ware, Harrington), Seahawks (McGwire, Mirer) and Bengals (Klingler, Smith) each had two busts in the study cycle, and the Lions, yet again, find themselves in need of a signal-caller. Buyer beware.
interesting set up.
Crunching the Numbers: First-Round QBs, 1989-2003
Number of QBs drafted: 30
Notable busts: Ryan Leaf, Todd Marinovich, David Klingler, Akili Smith, Cade McNown
Number of busts: 16
Bust percentage: 53%
Number of QBs with at least one Pro Bowl appearance: 10
Pro Bowl percentage: 33%
Noticeable second-tier (not busts, but not stars): Jeff George, Trent Dilfer, Kerry Collins, Byron Leftwich, Rex Grossman
For the sake of comparison
Percentage of first-round RB busts: 49%
Percentage of first-round WR busts: 45%
Conclusions
If history tells us anything, either Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell will be an abject failure at the next level. And it seemed like our metrics -- games played and TD/INT ratio -- were pretty accurate. To survive in the league at QB, you must make wise decisions with the football. To thrive, like many of our multiple Pro Bowl QBs, a 2/1 TD/INT ratio is standard.
But thriving is in no way a given, with quarterback grading out as our riskiest offensive skill position. The Lions (Ware, Harrington), Seahawks (McGwire, Mirer) and Bengals (Klingler, Smith) each had two busts in the study cycle, and the Lions, yet again, find themselves in need of a signal-caller. Buyer beware.